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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 75,7x - 83,7x | 79,7x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 24,6x - 27,2x | 25,9x |
| Fair Value | ¥13,51 - ¥14,99 | ¥14,25 |
| Upside | -25,7% - -17,6% | -21,6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Q Technology (Group) Company Limited | 1478 | SEHK:1478 |
| Shenzhen Deren Electronic Co., Ltd. | 2055 | SZSE:002055 |
| Shenzhen CDL Precision Technology Co., Ltd | 300686 | SZSE:300686 |
| Shanghai W-Ibeda High Tech.Group Co.,Ltd. | 688071 | SHSE:688071 |
| Shenzhen Emperor Technology Co., Ltd. | 300546 | SZSE:300546 |
| Ganzhou Yihao New Materials Co., Ltd. | 301176 | SZSE:301176 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 1478 | 2055 | 300686 | 688071 | 300546 | 301176 | ||
| SEHK:1478 | SZSE:002055 | SZSE:300686 | SHSE:688071 | SZSE:300546 | SZSE:301176 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -4.4% | -4.5% | NM- | NM- | NM- | -27.5% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -21.0% | -0.7% | NM- | NM- | NM- | -49.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 73.9% | -86.8% | 78.0% | -141.2% | 4.2% | 91.5% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 20.4% | 2.4% | 8.8% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 3.5% | 2.8% | -0.4% | 13.0% | 4.3% | 9.5% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 4.7% | 4.7% | -10.3% | -4.4% | -6.9% | 1.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.7% | 0.6% | -2.4% | -4.4% | -2.0% | 2.1% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.45x | 0.74x | 1.19x | 9.35x | 6.10x | 2.30x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.5x | 120.3x | -49.6x | -213.9x | -309.5x | 108.8x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 17.7x | -12.0x | -13.1x | -62.9x | -121.5x | -90.1x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -309.5x | -49.6x | 120.3x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.2x | 98.3x | 184.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 75.7x | 79.7x | 83.7x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 29 | 29 | 29 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,163 | 2,277 | 2,391 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (95) | (95) | (95) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,068 | 2,182 | 2,296 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 165.8 | 165.8 | 165.8 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 12.47 | 13.16 | 13.85 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 12.47 | 13.16 | 13.85 | 18.18 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -31.4% | -27.6% | -23.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 1478 | 2055 | 300686 | 688071 | 300546 | 301176 | |
| Enterprise Value | 7,204 | 3,578 | 1,814 | 4,020 | 2,766 | 3,109 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 2,921 | 209 | 475 | 104 | 555 | 451 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 1,105 | 317 | 140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,445) | (902) | (279) | (1,000) | (8) | (546) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 225 | (0) | 0 | (0) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 8,784 | 3,427 | 2,149 | 3,125 | 3,313 | 3,014 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,204.5 | 604.5 | 259.9 | 84.7 | 185.5 | 165.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 7.29 | 5.67 | 8.27 | 36.88 | 17.86 | 18.18 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 7.81 | 5.67 | 8.27 | 36.88 | 17.86 | 18.18 | |
| Trading Currency | HKD | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |